Every member of a sexual minority with half a brain already knows that people tend to lie about their beliefs and opinions in order to go along with the crowd; it’s why so many politicians publicly persecute sexual behavior (including paying sex workers, having sex with other men, and watching porn) that they themselves indulge in. The behavior is so typical, in fact, that I’ve formulated what I call McNeill’s Law: “The more any man crusades against a particular sex act, the more likely he is to be a practitioner.” This is why polls and surveys of sexual behavior and attitudes, including the much-vaunted General Social Survey, are so notoriously unreliable:
…as I’ve written on multiple occasions, the GSS is conducted face to face and is a terrible source for any sexual data (such as “have you ever paid for sex?“) because people simply lie about sexual questions. These surveys don’t find anything about what people are actually doing sexually; what they measure is people’s relative comfort with the question, which is a horse of a different color…
So this recent article in Reason didn’t surprise me in the slightest:
…”Social pressure to have the ‘right’ opinion is pervasive in America today,” notes Populace, a social-research organization, in a report published this summer. “In recent years, polls have consistently found that most Americans, across all demographics, feel they cannot share their honest opinions in public for fear of offending others or incurring retribution…One important, but underappreciated, consequence of a culture of censorship is that it can lead individuals not only to self-silence, but also publicly misrepresent their own private views (what scholars call preference falsification)”…
A few examples from the article:
…Whereas 59 percent of Americans publicly agree that wearing a mask was an effective way to stop the spread of COVID-19, only 47 percent privately hold that view…
…74 percent…privately think parents should have more influence over public school curriculums, but only 48 percent are willing to say so publicly…while in public a majority (60 percent) say discussing gender identity in public schools is inappropriate for young children (K-3), in private this is not the majority view (only 40 percent privately agree)…
…44 percent of Democrats publicly insist corporate CEOs should take stands on controversial issues, but only 11 percent believe that in private…
…In public, 39 percent of Asian-Americans say the U.S. should completely phase out use of fossil fuels, but only 13 percent privately agree…
…A 64 percent majority of Republicans publicly favored overturning Roe v. Wade, but only 51 percent agree in private…
…A 61 percent majority of political independents publicly say that whether someone is a man or woman is determined by their sex at birth, but 45 percent really believe that…
…42 percent of those 18-29 years old privately believe racism is built into the economy, government, and educational system, although 65 percent say that in public…
In sometimes contradictory ways, Americans are misrepresenting what they actually believe to endorse views they don’t really hold…
I don’t really have a concluding statement on this, because it simply provides supporting evidence for something I’ve always assumed. Except maybe, “Most people are moral cowards; proceed accordingly.”
I draw a different conclusion: cancel culture has successfully scared a huge number of people who disagree with “wokism” into hiding the fact. We need laws protecting dissidents from retaliation, both by the law and by private opponents.
Except that, as I pointed out in the essay, this didn’t start with “Wokism”. Every cultish fad in American sociopolitical life creates this exact same syndrome, though it’s now in one of its periodic waxing phases (another was the 1950s).
When I was in college, there was a survey floating around on how often college students were having sex.
According to the survey, men were having sex 3 times more often than women.
Now maybe men counted heavy petting as sex while women didn’t, or maybe there was an enormous gay population on campus, or perhaps a lot men were using professionals, but it seemed far more likely at the time that men were lying “up” and women were lying “down”.
The only reasonable conclusion I could draw was that surveys were horrible research tools.